← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University0.75+5.79vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.20+3.32vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.70+2.09vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.39+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.11+0.61vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.05+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.54vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.97+0.59vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-0.58+2.09vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.56-3.35vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University0.59-3.57vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University-0.58-1.19vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont-0.44-2.80vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University-0.79-2.32vs Predicted
-
15McGill University-0.36-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.79Brown University0.756.2%1st Place
-
5.32Tufts University1.2012.2%1st Place
-
5.09Yale University1.7013.0%1st Place
-
4.79Roger Williams University1.3914.1%1st Place
-
5.61Tufts University1.1110.8%1st Place
-
6.53University of Rhode Island1.058.3%1st Place
-
9.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.9%1st Place
-
8.59Salve Regina University0.975.2%1st Place
-
11.09Bates College-0.581.9%1st Place
-
6.65Boston University0.568.2%1st Place
-
7.43Fairfield University0.596.2%1st Place
-
10.81Northeastern University-0.582.5%1st Place
-
10.2University of Vermont-0.443.1%1st Place
-
11.68Salve Regina University-0.791.7%1st Place
-
9.86McGill University-0.363.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Courtland Doyle | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 16.9% |
| Greer Page | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 28.7% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.