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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+4.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+3.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.39+1.77vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+7.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.75+1.72vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.58+4.74vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05-0.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.11-2.48vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.59-1.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.62vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97-2.38vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.58-0.93vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.56-6.48vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.36-3.98vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.44-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Yale University1.7012.7%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University1.2012.0%1st Place
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4.77Roger Williams University1.3913.5%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University-0.791.7%1st Place
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6.72Brown University0.758.2%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University-0.582.5%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island1.057.8%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University1.1111.7%1st Place
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7.35Fairfield University0.597.8%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.5%1st Place
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8.62Salve Regina University0.973.8%1st Place
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11.07Bates College-0.581.9%1st Place
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6.52Boston University0.567.7%1st Place
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10.02McGill University-0.362.6%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont-0.442.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 29.6% |
| Emery Diemar | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Greer Page | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.