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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+0.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94-0.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90-2.65vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24-2.80vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.26-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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5.36Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.89University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.71Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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2.35Yale University2.900.3%1st Place
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3.2Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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6.26Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.7% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Keller | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 38.3% | 23.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 15.0% | 4.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 33.7% | 28.1% | 18.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Claire Havig | 18.4% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 17.8% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.