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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+1.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+3.31vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78-0.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24-1.74vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94-2.31vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.26-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Yale University2.900.4%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.26Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.91University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.26Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.69Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.26Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 37.2% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Keller | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 38.5% | 22.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 15.8% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 22.0% | 15.1% | 4.9% |
| Claire Havig | 16.6% | 20.1% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 12.8% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 16.9% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.