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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+1.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+2.36vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24-0.70vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21-1.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90-3.62vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.26-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.36Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.3Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.31Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.38Yale University2.900.3%1st Place
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6.24Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 15.1% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Pearson | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 14.2% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Keller | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 36.2% | 25.3% |
| Claire Havig | 16.7% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 1.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.0% | 18.3% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 34.7% | 26.1% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 17.8% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.