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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+1.86vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+0.22vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.90-1.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+0.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94-2.32vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.26-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.22Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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2.34Yale University2.900.4%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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3.68Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.27Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.5% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Pearson | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| Claire Havig | 17.5% | 19.3% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 35.2% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Keller | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 39.7% | 23.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 12.6% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 16.6% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.