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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+1.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+1.62vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78-0.10vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24-1.74vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26+0.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Yale University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.62Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.25Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.26Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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6.37Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.25Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 37.6% | 24.2% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 16.3% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 3.7% |
| Claire Havig | 16.4% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 17.1% | 68.7% |
| Matthew Keller | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 39.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.