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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+1.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+0.64vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21-0.73vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24-1.72vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26+0.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Yale University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.86University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.64Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.27Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.28Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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6.37Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.25Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 37.3% | 25.4% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 23.3% | 13.5% | 3.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 12.2% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 1.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.3% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 1.5% |
| Claire Havig | 15.8% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 17.3% | 68.6% |
| Matthew Keller | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 38.0% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.