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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+0.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+0.67vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24-0.74vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21-1.69vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26+0.35vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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2.32Yale University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.67Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.26Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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3.31Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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6.35Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 36.2% | 26.2% | 17.7% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 12.8% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% |
| Claire Havig | 18.0% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 15.7% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 69.2% |
| Matthew Keller | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 39.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.