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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.86vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+1.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.90-0.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94-0.29vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24-1.74vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26+0.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.24Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.31Yale University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.71Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.26Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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6.34Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 4.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.4% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 36.9% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 12.3% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 22.2% | 13.0% | 2.3% |
| Claire Havig | 16.5% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 16.2% | 68.5% |
| Matthew Keller | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 40.0% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.