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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+1.48vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+1.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.24-0.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90-2.77vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26+0.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.48Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.03Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.11Bowdoin College2.240.2%1st Place
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2.23Yale University2.900.4%1st Place
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6.31Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 12.4% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 4.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 14.2% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Joey Lark | 10.6% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 22.3% | 18.4% | 4.3% |
| Claire Havig | 18.9% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 37.9% | 27.1% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Simon Rothman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 16.7% | 67.0% |
| Matthew Keller | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 36.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.