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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+1.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+2.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University-0.08+2.48vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.26+1.74vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59-1.83vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24-3.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.69-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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4.39Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.48Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.74Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.17Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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2.32Bowdoin College2.240.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 28.1% | 23.8% | 21.5% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Keller | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 9.6% |
| Patrick Buehler | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 27.4% | 34.7% |
| Simon Rothman | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 43.7% |
| Joey Lark | 16.3% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Claire Havig | 34.8% | 26.2% | 20.5% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Gunn | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 18.6% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.