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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+1.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+2.39vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+0.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.69-0.52vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26-0.29vs Predicted
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7Yale University-0.08-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Bowdoin College2.240.4%1st Place
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4.39Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.11Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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2.67Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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5.71Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.38Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 36.3% | 28.3% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Keller | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 19.4% | 9.3% |
| Joey Lark | 17.3% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 27.1% | 23.3% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Peter Gunn | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 11.7% |
| Simon Rothman | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 22.8% | 43.9% |
| Patrick Buehler | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 28.2% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.