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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+1.64vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+0.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.69+0.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University-0.08+0.50vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26-0.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
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2.27Bowdoin College2.240.3%1st Place
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4.42Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.69Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.03Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 27.4% | 24.9% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Claire Havig | 34.2% | 29.8% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Keller | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 20.5% | 9.9% |
| Peter Gunn | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 23.6% | 20.9% | 10.3% |
| Patrick Buehler | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 25.3% | 35.3% |
| Simon Rothman | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 24.3% | 41.8% |
| Joey Lark | 19.2% | 20.2% | 24.8% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.