← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.24+1.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.69+2.38vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.94-0.35vs Predicted
-
4Yale University-0.08+1.56vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.59-1.85vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.69-1.56vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-0.26-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25Bowdoin College2.240.4%1st Place
-
4.38University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
-
2.65Brown University1.940.3%1st Place
-
5.56Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.15Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
-
4.44Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
-
5.58Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 36.9% | 28.0% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Gunn | 7.6% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 23.1% | 18.9% | 9.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 25.8% | 26.7% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Buehler | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 26.6% | 36.1% |
| Joey Lark | 16.5% | 21.1% | 23.4% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Keller | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 11.0% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 24.7% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.