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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.24+1.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+2.39vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.69+0.47vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94-2.30vs Predicted
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6Yale University-0.08-0.52vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.26-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Bowdoin College2.240.4%1st Place
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4.39Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.09Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island0.690.1%1st Place
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2.7Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.48Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.61Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Havig | 37.3% | 27.6% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Keller | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 10.1% |
| Joey Lark | 17.6% | 21.8% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Peter Gunn | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 23.6% | 20.6% | 10.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 24.5% | 26.6% | 22.4% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Buehler | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 25.1% | 34.7% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 24.6% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.