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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+8.97vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.44vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.20vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.43vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.15vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63+1.44vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.51+5.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+1.56vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-2.81vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-2.12vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-5.65vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-4.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.16vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-6.66vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.68Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.34Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 32.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
| Emma White | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.