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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University-0.71+3.19vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.23+0.98vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.47+1.01vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.19-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.59-0.88vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.19-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Villanova University-0.719.7%1st Place
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2.98Drexel University0.2321.5%1st Place
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4.01Princeton University-0.4710.4%1st Place
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2.94Washington College0.1923.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Delaware-0.599.8%1st Place
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2.76Syracuse University0.1925.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Amspacher | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 29.6% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 21.5% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 23.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 23.1% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 6.4% |
| Olivia Coffill | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 28.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 25.5% | 23.1% | 22.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.