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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.93vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+7.80vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+5.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+2.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.73vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-1.71vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23+0.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.19vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-2.45vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.95vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-5.59vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.01vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-6.71vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.29Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Emma White | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.