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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.98vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+5.92vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.43vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.63+4.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+1.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.61vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+1.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.18vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-1.84vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.39vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-3.57vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-5.61vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.60vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-5.57vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.39College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.