← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+9.96vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.79vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.58+5.68vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.65+4.36vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.37+0.45vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.99+1.01vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.05-0.32vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.20-1.90vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.84-1.01vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.63-1.32vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.36-0.84vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.83vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.39vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.23-3.76vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.51-1.88vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.62vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College2.49-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
6.71University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.36Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.45College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.01Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.68Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.1Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.68Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.16Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
10.17University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
11.24Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
14.12University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
-
9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.91Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 34.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.