← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.65+8.66vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.63+7.81vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.69vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.58+5.66vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.37+1.48vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.20+1.18vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.84+1.64vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.36+2.63vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.30vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.16vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.99-2.83vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.46vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.05-5.40vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.42vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.49-4.86vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.11vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.51-2.89vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.23-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.66Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
-
9.81Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
-
6.69University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.66University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.48College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.18Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.64Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
10.63Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
10.3University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.17Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.6Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
10.14Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
14.11University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
-
11.07Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Emma White | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 35.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.