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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+9.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+5.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+5.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.51vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.47vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65+0.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+1.58vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-2.13vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-0.92vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.81vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-4.16vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-7.97vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.09vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.47Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.08Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.