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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+10.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+6.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+5.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.97vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.05vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.46vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-2.96vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-5.34vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-0.18vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-3.74vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.63-5.64vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-7.47vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.51-3.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.26Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.82Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.36Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.97University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Emma White | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 20.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 30.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.