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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+8.52vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+8.03vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.51+9.60vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.96vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.76+6.96vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+4.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.73vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+1.55vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-2.70vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-2.39vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-5.43vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-8.35vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.63-7.39vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.99-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.96Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.65Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 29.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 20.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Emma White | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.