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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+5.61vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.61vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+5.78vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+6.65vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.57vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.94vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+1.21vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-2.07vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36+0.81vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.51+2.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.00vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-0.23vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.63-4.87vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-7.21vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-6.34vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.61vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.23-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.93Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.81Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.77Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.13Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 30.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 18.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Emma White | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.