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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.09vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+5.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+5.83vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+4.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.67vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+2.72vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.49-0.55vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.15vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98-0.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.28+0.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.18-8.61vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.13vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.40-7.32vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.56-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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11.72Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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13.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Emily Haig | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 25.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 21.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.