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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.02vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62+2.39vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49+0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.39vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.65vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-1.63vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-2.76vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-5.10vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.28-1.69vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-4.57vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.80vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.72-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.39Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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11.43Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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17.11University of Wisconsin-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 23.9% | 5.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 5.8% |
| Rebekah Janssen | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.