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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.95vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.17vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.60vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+3.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+3.33vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+4.31vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50+0.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-3.38vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.45vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.21vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.73vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.49-6.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.81vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.28-3.54vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.72-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.79Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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13.46University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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17.1University of Wisconsin-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 26.1% | 6.6% |
| Rebekah Janssen | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.