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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.91vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.78vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.47vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+5.35vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50+1.86vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-1.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-0.46vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.49-1.96vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.62-3.23vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-1.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.43-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.72+1.19vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.98-5.87vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.28-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.77Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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17.19University of Wisconsin-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 2.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 5.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebekah Janssen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 7.9% | 80.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 24.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.