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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.49vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+4.31vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.49+3.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+7.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.26vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+3.27vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.28+2.40vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-2.74vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.93vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.86vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.33-9.32vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.37vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.98-5.99vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.72-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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13.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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17.09University of Wisconsin-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 7.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Paris Henken | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 24.6% | 8.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 0.8% |
| Rebekah Janssen | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 9.5% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.