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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+7.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.96vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.65vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+1.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+5.42vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.53vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.06vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62-0.69vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+1.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-1.58vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.28+1.60vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.85vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-1.97vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-9.88vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-6.48vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.72-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.1Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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13.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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17.12University of Wisconsin-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 24.8% | 8.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 4.3% |
| Emily Haig | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Rebekah Janssen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.