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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+4.55vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+4.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+3.71vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98+4.46vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+3.80vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.39vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-0.54vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-2.12vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-6.67vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-1.87vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.09-7.85vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.56-3.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.39vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.28-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.33Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.13Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.15College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 13.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Haig | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Paris Henken | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 20.2% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.