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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.30vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.05vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.98+3.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+4.21vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62-1.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-1.82vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79+0.19vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.43vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.56-1.00vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-5.30vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.28-2.24vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-5.10vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.40-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.3Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.98Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.19Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 19.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% |
| Emily Haig | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 24.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.