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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+1.02vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.75+1.50vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.06+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.48+1.28vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.28+1.33vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.18+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.18-2.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Rhode Island2.020.4%1st Place
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3.5Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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4.63Fairfield University-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.33Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.24Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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2.17Northeastern University1.820.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 38.2% | 35.3% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 11.9% | 11.5% | 28.7% | 22.4% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Davis Doherty | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 11.9% | 2.1% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 6.9% |
| Wynn Simmons | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 34.0% | 23.7% |
| Luke Haggerty | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 63.4% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 14.1% | 3.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 35.6% | 30.6% | 20.0% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.