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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.06+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.02-0.01vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.75+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.48+1.30vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82-2.76vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.18-1.22vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.28-0.65vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-2.18-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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1.99University of Rhode Island2.020.4%1st Place
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3.5Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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2.24Northeastern University1.820.3%1st Place
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4.78University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.35Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.25Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Doherty | 4.7% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 2.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 41.0% | 31.1% | 18.6% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 12.0% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 25.2% | 18.9% | 7.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 32.8% | 32.0% | 20.1% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 4.7% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 12.1% | 3.6% |
| Wynn Simmons | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 33.7% | 25.1% |
| Luke Haggerty | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 20.9% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.