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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.23+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.59+1.77vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.55+0.76vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.47-0.24vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.19-2.42vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.00-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Drexel University0.2327.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Delaware-0.5911.2%1st Place
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3.76Washington College-0.5512.9%1st Place
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3.76Princeton University-0.4712.0%1st Place
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2.58Syracuse University0.1929.8%1st Place
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4.43Villanova University-2.007.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Gurskis | 27.0% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Coffill | 11.2% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| Austin Latimer | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| Alexa Whitman | 29.8% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Ella Kilgore | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.