← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.39+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University-0.40+2.05vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.68-1.16vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.38-0.85vs Predicted
-
5Sacred Heart University-2.40+1.34vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut-1.93-0.18vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-1.33-1.85vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College-3.92-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
-
4.05Fairfield University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
1.84University of Rhode Island1.680.4%1st Place
-
3.15Northeastern University0.380.1%1st Place
-
6.34Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
-
5.15University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
-
7.58Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline King | 33.4% | 36.6% | 20.7% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 5.6% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 32.6% | 23.2% | 11.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Nannig | 44.8% | 33.8% | 14.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Campbell | 11.9% | 16.4% | 33.2% | 25.7% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 23.1% | 43.1% | 13.6% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 21.8% | 29.9% | 28.3% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Woodward | 2.7% | 2.2% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 29.4% | 28.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 13.4% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.