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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.68-0.16vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.40+1.00vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.38-0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.93+0.82vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-2.40+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.33-1.83vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-3.92-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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1.84University of Rhode Island1.680.4%1st Place
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4.0Fairfield University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.17Northeastern University0.380.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.31Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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7.58Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline King | 33.9% | 34.8% | 22.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 44.4% | 34.6% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 5.7% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 33.4% | 22.8% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Campbell | 11.1% | 16.6% | 33.5% | 26.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 18.3% | 32.4% | 28.5% | 6.2% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 22.8% | 39.5% | 15.2% |
| Sarah Woodward | 2.5% | 2.6% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 30.4% | 26.8% | 14.6% | 2.3% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 14.2% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.