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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.68+0.83vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.38+1.24vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39-0.87vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.40+0.15vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-2.40+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.93+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.33-1.58vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-2.09-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83University of Rhode Island1.680.5%1st Place
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3.24Northeastern University0.380.1%1st Place
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2.13Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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4.15Fairfield University-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.76Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.29Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nannig | 46.6% | 31.6% | 15.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Campbell | 11.2% | 17.0% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 32.0% | 35.8% | 21.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 5.4% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 28.1% | 25.7% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 26.1% | 41.4% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 22.7% | 25.7% | 22.8% |
| Sarah Woodward | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 8.9% |
| Emily Graham | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 23.9% | 24.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.