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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.68-0.12vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.38+0.21vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.40+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.93+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.33-0.65vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-2.40-0.22vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-2.09-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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1.88University of Rhode Island1.680.4%1st Place
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3.21Northeastern University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.19Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.78Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
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6.29Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline King | 33.4% | 35.1% | 21.5% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 44.2% | 31.8% | 17.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Campbell | 12.5% | 15.9% | 31.6% | 23.5% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Owen | 4.7% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 29.7% | 23.2% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 28.2% | 21.5% |
| Sarah Woodward | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 16.2% | 8.4% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 24.0% | 43.7% |
| Emily Graham | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 23.4% | 26.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.