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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.38+2.17vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.40+2.17vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39-0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.68-2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-1.33+0.39vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-2.40+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.93-0.80vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-2.09-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Northeastern University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.11Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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1.89University of Rhode Island1.680.4%1st Place
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5.39University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.74Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.32Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Campbell | 12.4% | 17.2% | 31.5% | 23.5% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Owen | 5.8% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 30.5% | 23.1% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Caroline King | 33.9% | 34.0% | 22.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 43.5% | 32.2% | 17.5% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Woodward | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 14.9% | 24.1% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 8.3% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 42.3% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 21.1% | 27.6% | 23.0% |
| Emily Graham | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 26.7% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.