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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.38+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.68-0.12vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.40+1.16vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39-1.85vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-2.40+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.33-0.64vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-2.09-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.93-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Northeastern University0.380.1%1st Place
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1.88University of Rhode Island1.680.4%1st Place
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4.16Fairfield University-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.15Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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6.75Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.41Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Connecticut-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Campbell | 12.6% | 17.1% | 30.1% | 26.3% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Nannig | 43.9% | 32.9% | 15.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 5.7% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 27.5% | 25.3% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Caroline King | 31.8% | 35.0% | 22.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 26.1% | 40.8% |
| Sarah Woodward | 2.5% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 17.6% | 7.8% |
| Emily Graham | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 25.7% | 30.2% |
| Tara Schwenzfeier | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 16.3% | 25.2% | 25.3% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.