← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.88+0.91vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University-0.30+2.91vs Predicted
-
3Northern Michigan University-0.15+0.83vs Predicted
-
4Unknown School-0.62+1.81vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University0.97-1.87vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-0.22-0.87vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-0.91-0.85vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-0.76-2.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Toledo-2.87-0.13vs Predicted
-
10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91University of Michigan1.8847.7%1st Place
-
4.91Michigan Technological University-0.305.9%1st Place
-
3.83Northern Michigan University-0.1511.9%1st Place
-
5.81Unknown School-0.624.4%1st Place
-
3.13Michigan Technological University0.9718.1%1st Place
-
5.13Unknown School-0.224.8%1st Place
-
6.15Grand Valley State University-0.913.2%1st Place
-
5.97Michigan State University-0.763.5%1st Place
-
8.87University of Toledo-2.870.2%1st Place
-
9.3Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Puertas | 47.7% | 28.3% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Marco Constantini | 11.9% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Josh Hacker | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 6.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 18.1% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Dietsch | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Reed Rossell | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 24.1% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Kellan Gatt | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 43.2% | 37.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 28.2% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.