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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.23+1.66vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.47+1.75vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-2.00+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.59-0.22vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.19-2.36vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.55-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Drexel University0.2328.7%1st Place
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3.75Princeton University-0.4712.2%1st Place
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4.41Villanova University-2.007.3%1st Place
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3.78University of Delaware-0.5912.0%1st Place
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2.64Syracuse University0.1927.7%1st Place
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3.77Washington College-0.5511.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Gurskis | 28.7% | 23.0% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 18.4% |
| Ella Kilgore | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 36.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 18.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 27.7% | 24.4% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.