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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+0.21vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.34Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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3.82University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 20.8% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 34.8% | 28.7% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.9% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 8.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 12.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 31.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 24.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 21.7% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.