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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-2.21vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.36Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 20.8% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 34.3% | 28.6% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 23.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 22.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.9% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.