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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+2.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90-0.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-2.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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2.37Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 30.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 12.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 35.2% | 26.8% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Simone Staff | 19.0% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 22.8% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 8.6% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.