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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.75vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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5.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 37.4% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.4% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 12.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 8.3% |
| Simone Staff | 19.0% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 31.9% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 23.7% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.