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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.18vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 38.4% | 22.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Simone Staff | 17.6% | 23.2% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 24.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.2% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 8.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.8% | 5.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 30.8% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.